J.D. Vance’s lead in the polls could be collapsing because of his association with Trump, according to an expert

J.D. Vance’s chances of becoming the GOP nominee for president in 2028 have taken a dive, according to a new poll.

The survey looking at potential successors to Donald Trump has seen the vice-president’s lead in a list of theoretical candidates narrow significantly in recent months.

And in the most recent poll in November, the Vance’s margin continued to fall. According to the survey of 439 voters conducted between November 17 and 24, Vance’s lead over Trump Jr had plummeted to just 10 points. The latest results put Vance at 34% and Trump Jr at 24%.

Trump’s polling figures have collapsed in recent months, with every major poll giving Trump a negative rating for the first time ever.

Even a Fox News poll suggested that 61% of respondents think that Trump’s administration has damaged the economy, with just 3% approving of his economic strategy.

  • PumpkinSkink@lemmy.world
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    8 hours ago

    There is no universe where that guy was going to be Trump’s successor. Nobody likes him, he’s only there now because Peter Thiel believe he will allow him to replace humanity with robots or something.

  • ReasonablePea@sh.itjust.works
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    16 hours ago

    I’m not super familiar with pooling sample sizes. Is 439 a big enough sample to draw conclusions from? Is it a group of people that spreads decently across a specific demographic that historically produces meaningful results?

    I have such a hard time understanding political polling. Anyone know of a good way to get up to speed? Doesn’t have to be quick

    • frog_brawler@lemmy.world
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      7 hours ago

      It’s been 2 decades since I took a course on statistics but it was specifically the statistics related to polling, and I vaguely recall something around 1024 being the sample size that would provide 3% margin of error. 439 people surveyed means next to nothing.

      I could be a little off on my numbers but I know 439 isn’t enough.

  • RufusFirefly@lemmy.world
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    14 hours ago

    I’m not sure if there’s anybody in the Republican Party that is a viable candidate, much less JD Vance. The Republican’s message may be populist but their motivations are pure greed and authoritarianism and a lot of red state voters are finally waking up to that fact.

  • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    Vance’s lead over Trump Jr had plummeted

    What! Seriously?
    Those are what GOP is currently considering the best 2 options?

    USA is a joke, and unfortunately a very bad one.

  • MrVilliam@sh.itjust.works
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    1 day ago

    If he wants to ever be president, he needs to either invoke the 25th amendment or get on board with impeachment.

    I dreamed that trump was impeached again and this time the Senate voted 50-50. Couch fucker was the tie-breaking vote, and he voted to convict, effectively electing himself president.

    It’s disheartening that this wasn’t a good dream, but it was still too good to realistically hope for.

  • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    I cannot imagine that being seen as the weird puppet of the even weirder puppetmaster Thiel is doing him any favors, either.

    I mean, Thiel and his weird associations - the freaks writing The Sovereign Individual, Curtis Yarvin, and Elon himself…blech. I think about the only people getting excited about any of those freaks and their ideas for how WE should live OUR fucking lives would be either the most idiotic of incel morons and centimillionaires and billionaires.

    The Democratic Party needs to bring back calling these people weird again. I mean, all the time, too. Orchestrated. Like they started to do for like a minute before someone clearly had them dial it back.

    Because these people are fucking weird. Sure, the right tries to constantly cast anyone to the left of Rush Limbaugh as some blue-haired trans person with face piercings and by that coding, way outside the mainstream. But anyone that is a billionaire is by definition someone that is wildly out of step with the everyday person. People like Mikey Johnson that have some weird porn pact with their son are deeply weird. People that follow the likes of Curtis Yarvin telling the elites that we need to get over things like democracy are extremely weird freaks, and people should point and laugh at this kind of thing.

    But definitely point it out all the time…don’t pretend any of this shit is the least bit respectable.

    • Formfiller@lemmy.world
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      21 hours ago

      Calling them weird? No they need to be tried for sedition and racketeering and be fined the sum of their wealth to fix the damage they’ve done to our country.

    • tym@lemmy.world
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      23 hours ago

      south park is the only entity attacking the right people with the right kind of satire. bless those gents, we don’t deserve them.

    • untorquer@lemmy.world
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      16 hours ago

      Of course there will be a completely free and fair, totally not rigged election, and not a hint of voter suppression. It is America after all. I suspect with the job he’s doing there will be about 93% trump voters, give or take a few points, across the board.

    • BanMe@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      My hopes were very low a few months ago, but right now, the tides are turning and I think his time may have come. If the entire party isn’t with him in lockstep, his efforts to remain as king will not succeed.

  • switcheroo@lemmy.world
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    22 hours ago

    I bet the orange cancer PEDOnald is soiling his pre-soiled pants at the mere thought of Vance trying to be next Preznit.

  • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    Any one with eyes knew this in 2024. He was sinking the ticket Dems insisted in sinking further, but that’s just history now.