Democrats are currently leading Republicans in the RealClearPolling generic congressional average
A blue wave may not be as certain as some polls have predicted, experts warn ahead of Election Day, noting forecasts may be skewed because Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.
While current polls paint a positive picture for Democrats ahead of the midterms this November 3 — some pollsters are questioning whether that number may be inflated due to supporters of President Donald Trump being difficult to reach by pollsters, Axios reported.
Polls previously underestimated Trump’s support during the presidential races in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Even though midterm polling is typically more accurate, some still underestimated Republican support in 2022, Scott Keeter, senior survey adviser at Pew Research Center, told Axios.
Vote as though your life depends on it, because it fucking does!
Turnout is all that matters, and polls anticipate turnout/motivation.
Always be voting for lesser evil! Rural people get luxury gay space communism voting lines. Seniors/evangelicals always turn out. You better believe that evangelicals hold their nose when they vote for Trump, but Armageddon and Israel worship is part of their programming. If you be voting, then your opinions will matter in the future. If not, then you will be safely ignored, because lemme nazis will remind you the only time politics matter to you, that DNC is shit.
Seniors now have -21 net approval of Trump down 24 from Oct 24. They may vote against him.
Rural voters overall have -20 net approval. Down 40 from Oct 24. Rural Republicans still net positive, but 26% disapprove of Trump, and 60% disapprove of Iran war related energy costs. There will be some flips from former, and more abstains from latter.
Show the fuck up. Protest DNC the next day, and organize next primaries or 3rd party.
I don’t think the polls are accounting for all the Republican and Trump voters that simply won’t show up this year. I’ve talked to many that voted for Trump who said to me they ain’t either voting ever again or not this time around.
If they tell the pollsters the same thing, their “likely voter” models pick that up. This is by far record low net approval rates for a President heading to mid terms. Senate needed to stop shenaremovedns.
My optimism for the midterms are bigger than the sun, and smaller than a grain of rice at the same time.
all those in PA remember one thing. If you vote for Frank Pastella and the rest of the republicans, you vote to let Pastella rape your kids. Vote no to Republikkkans like Frank Pastella to keep their dicks outside of your children’s bodies.
The last two DNC picks who lost seemed like they had it in the bag. They also talked about Trump more than they did their own policy.
They’re running the same strategy again.
Cook Political Report forecasts Democrats will gain nine to 19 seats in the House, which would give the party a narrow majority. In the Senate, Cook predicts a potential Democratic net gain of two to six seats. Democrats would need four seats to take control of the chamber.
The current DNC chair is gonna run a fair presidential primary in less than two years…
No matter what happens the neoliberals will say midterms could have been better and Martin needs to resign. Because neoliberals have no chance in hell of winning a fair primary.
And if we get a progressive in 2028 into the White House, they pick the next DNC chair in 2029.
We’re on the cusp of some real FDR shit, but neoliberals (as always) will do anything including helping Republicans to stop it.
You’ve been saying this so often and for so long that I’m really curious to see how you’re going to try and spin it when the DNC fucks over progressives like they always do. Ken Martin is like the second coming of Jesus to you for some reason.
I bet you’ve never once looked up a bill and checked out the votes to see how Republicans blocked so many of them because the Democrats didn’t have enough of a voting majority.
Do you know why the Public Option was removed from the Affordable Care Act? Because Democrats needed 60 votes, and there were only 58 Democrats elected to the Senate, with 2 Independents voting with them… 60 exactly - this gave extraordinary power to any Democrat who was against the public option (Joe Lieberman and 5 others). If 6 or more extra Democrats had been elected, the Lieberman 6 votes would have had no power. Or if just 6 Republicans out of the 40 had voted with the Democrats. Ha.
And in the end, I always see people blaming the Democrats, not the Republicans. Because nobody looks at the actual bills and how they are gutted or defeated because the people won’t elect enough Dems to counter the Rep opposition. Shrug.
I fear we’re going to see another historical percentage of people abstain from voting.
Despite the way online conversation goes, we haven’t really seen historically low voter participation rates. In fact, looking at the data for recent years we have actually seen fairly consistently higher percentage than historic rates by a little bit.
While probably true, referencing Trump’s support in the years he was up for presidential election as a reason is pretty misleading as he’s not on the ballot. Sure, in a sense his policies are, but its still not the same thing.
The only people saying it’s “in the bad” are other pollsters. The pollsters should just figure it out between themselves and leave us to do a Democracy.
It’s not the pollsters…
It’s people writing opinion pieces about polls.
Like always tho, it’s important to remember a billionaire can pay for 100 polls and publish the 1 that agrees with them.
Like, from the article the polls and question are already counting Republican responses more, and at least one of the pollsters is a "Republican pollster:
“I think it’s telling that we’re hanging our hopes on ‘The polls are wrong,’” Republican pollster Brent Buchanan told Axios. “That’s not very strong.”
And he flat out said “our only hope is this isn’t real”
The only thing Republicans love more than being victims is being winners, if they think Dems are going to win state races, they’ll invent reasons not to vote. Otherwise they’d have to vote and lose, they’d rather not “play”.
It’s the Eff Off crowd. “🖕” MAGA.
Who could have predicted neoliberal ghouls whispering “at least I’m not the other guy” into voters ears like wormtongue would lead to Luke warm results!?
