Dangerous beliefs part of the propaganda that West/Ukraine has been winning all along. Wages are very high in Russia, due to high military pay bonuses, and is massively increasing military production. Russia has enough troops and equipment to be gaining territory every week. Russia moved ahead of Germany and Japan to be 4th largest economy. All of this comes from western reporting.

Just because there is always propaganda about how unconditional surrender of enemy is just mere weeks away, it is suicidal to believe any of it.

Just saw a “leak video” that 9070 is outselling 5070, and so 5070 and 5080 supers are being released very soon.

Has this threat actually been said out loud?

What I really mean is that for Canada it doesn’t make sense to join BRICS unless it manages to pull a Brazil and somehow switch the camp from “imperial” to “fringe kingdoms”.

Canada needs more direct investment from anyone willing to make it. The US is not on the list anymore, and the political unanimity that still pretends that US is ally are simply all traitors.

Not sure that is specific Project 2025 item, though it is a consequence of Trump trade policy. US$ value is a function of total trade with US. A $ is not destroyed when it is sent abroad, and there is general appeal to use it to buy US assets to ensure the wealth to purchase more imports. Unjustifiable extortion is resulting in less capital inflows to US treasuries even as the colonies rulerships seemingly submit to the extortion.

As OP’s charts show, China saved the US in GFC aftermath legitimizing their extreme QE and bailouts.

voidfucker

Iran is happy with permanent ceasefire. Israel had far greater initial demonic fantasies, and so we can say they lost. Trump’s glorious victory strike no one should question its success is essentially helpful intervention on behalf of Iran. Israel better off not receiving missiles, too.

Emperor rutte has spoken. Well deputy emperor to trump, rutte, has spoken. NATO members all agree to destroy their societies in order to boost military spending by 150%. Traitors in member parliaments will need to be executed if they object to the empire.

At least Europes war on Russia will be worth it. Every 100 years, no one left alive to remember last failure.

Ukraine NATO version of a ceasefire proposal is so Ukraine can dig new defensive lines, and let western weapons production catch up with donations. Conducting terrorist operations day before meetings doesn’t put Russia in a good mood either.

Zelensky power/bribery clinging does not bring peace to Ukraine any time soon.

Withdrawal would be worse.

If we withdraw then China, Iran, human peaceniks win because of demonstrated weakness and failure. We must achieve bankruptcy!

At the same time, the hope is that Russian society would come out en masse against Russian President Putin and dispose of him from power.

Theory that Russia will collapse relies on hoping that Russians don’t understand the existential threat of NATO expansion, and NATO hatred of them, AND all Russian power brokers will start believing NATO disinformation, AND risk of losing war will motivate Russians to surrender to Ukraine/NATO.

Instead, any Russian regime change is likely to be caused by Putin weakness and failure to nuke German and UK US military bases. Or otherwise perception of insufficient aggression/speed of progress.

Democracy means you have the illusion of mitigating warmongering, and right to object to your destruction.

Prices have to decrease, period. We can put some makeup on this and trick homeowners into satisfaction by having some nominal increase without accounting for inflation

It’s about policy to not completely screw over home owners. Policy to pretend to do something is motivated by protecting home owners while concern troll gaslighting. An explicit bargain to give “fair gains” to home owners while solving housing affordability is an honest one. Federal government doesn’t need to be involved at all other than perhaps providing cheap credit to “city owned housing development and construction company”.

From city perspective, more housing is more property taxes. There is a ROI to it for all residents if city spending is efficient and valuable. Denser housing means more commercial revenue and tax potential.

Decreasing home values can get banks in trouble, and they rule, which is why nothing ever gets done. Limiting price increases to fair amounts is only practical political possibility.

@[email protected] 's point is subsidizing first time buyers allows for affordability without lowering prices. It in fact, increases prices of starter homes because of the subsidy, but only while the subsidy lasts.

A balanced policy would be government construction companies that build small market housing that is affordable due to being small, that ramps activity up and down based on trailing 5 years home appreciation being 15% (3%/year).

This is a zero cost program. Subsidies cost money, without solving problem.

Extremely weird story to get pushed out everywhere. Attacks on kyiv were retaliation for Ukrainian attempted drone terrorism on Moscow the day before.

Zelensky should be the one admonished for escalating stupidly, and usa silence encourages zelensky destruction of Ukraine.

Great post. Thank you. Strategy basics are succinct. Perfect Analysis dead on even 3 months ago. Russian gains also seem to be increasing every week. Accelrating last 2.

Main terms?

There is a Russian counter ultimatum, that Trump has enthusiastically embraced as glorious peace breakthrough: Ukraine must go back to resume Istanbul peace talks this week.

You might start then, as a Pole i could tell you that normal people here don’t want to fight for the Ukraine either. Hell, even though intensive media brainwashing no one even seriously believe Russia will attack us (well, maybe except the usual tinfoil brains).

There is no Russian desire to rule over Poland or Kyiv/Lyiv because no one likes them there, and there is no benefit and only costs. Destroying those regions under the principle that the only good purpose for a warmongering crackhead is an irradiated exclusion zone, on the other hand…

The claim that Russia wants their territory is propaganda used to justify attacks/diminishment of Russia.

Simply not reality focused. Hatred of Russia programmed higher than European security concerns that could be addressed if “root causes of conflict” (US puppeted provocation of war by Ukraine and supporters) are a basis for peace instead of treating ceasefire as opportunity to rearm and train the newly conscripted.

Just as Russia demands demilitarization of Ukraine, Europe needs to demand demilitarization of Russia to avoid their own military buildup at cost of social programs. Europe continuing to demonize Russia, including blaming ceasefire breakdowns as one sided, is not going to get them treated as human. Not that anyone cares, but prolonging the war is more destruction of Ukraine and less favourable peace.

Even if destabilizing Russia is a unanimous/axiomatic goal, there is greater opportunity through giving it peace, and forcing it to transition to a peacetime economy, instead of the massive success/growth it has generated, including exceptional wage growth, during the war.