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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 26th, 2023

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  • Lots of things like grey hair, moving more slowly, injuries that I would have bounced away from before instead hurting for weeks or months.

    But the one that hit hardest was a breakup I had a little while back. She was the love of my life and I fully intended to marry her, and when she ended it out of nowhere I was sad, but fine. She dumped me, and it sucked, but I also needed to finish a staff report for a Planning and Zoning Commission meeting that night. So I moved on.

    The thing that upset me most was that I wasn’t that upset. There was a time in my life when I would have been a mess. But as I’ve aged, my emotions have become more regulated.

    I miss being capable of that level of joy and pain.





  • When the average voter doesn’t give a damn either way while someone else cares deeply, but only in one direction, it makes the minority the most important demographic.

    Let’s say you have a choice between “A” and “1”, and 98% of people don’t care. But 2 percent care deeply and will vote based on the superiority of “A”, while nobody votes based on their support of “1.”

    All else being equal, if one pay ignores the issue while the other adopts the platform of “A is great, and 1 is bad”, the latter party will win the election.

    That’s how the GOP wins elections. They target single-issue voters: Gun nuts. Pro-lifers. Racists. Christian Nationalists. Relatively small groups that vote in lockstep without a significant equivalent group on the other side of the issue.

    Sure: most people are pro-choice. But how many pro-choice Democrats would have changed their vote if Trump and Harris had opposite positions than reality on those issues but were otherwise identical? I certainly wouldn’t have voted for Trump over it. But pro-life voters absolutely will change based on that single issue.

    It’s why every single time the Dems make that a central issue, they get slaughtered in the general election. Pro-choice Republicans simply don’t prioritize the right to choose over everything else, so they keep voting red.

    The Republicans are masters of finding and manufacturing single-issue voting groups that will vote against their own interests to achieve a goal the GOP doesn’t actually care about.



  • Yes, it’s bad.

    But we’ve already had some small judicial pushback, and from Republican judges.

    We need to throw wrenches into every gear we can for 2 years, and it’s going to suck, but we can get there.

    Though what’s neat politically (and horrible socially), is the stuff he can do is the sort of thing that will result in severe economic consequences. That’s the number 1 indicator of how the next election will turn out. Trump and the GOP are lighting fire to their own rope right now.

    There’s enough GOP senatorial seats up for re-election in 2026 that if he fucks up bad enough he and Vance could be removed from office in January 2027, giving the Dems the White House and the ability to pack the Court before his term is even half-finished.

    I don’t think the GOP will give him enough rope to do that to their party.


  • The ruling is that he can’t be prosecuted for official acts. Not that he can do them.

    He can order the moon to reverse its orbit without getting in trouble, but the moon doesn’t have to obey.

    The biggest power he has is over the administrative state. Lots of executive agencies create regulations because of power granted to those agencies by Congress. Things like the FAA, EPA, FTC, SEC, ATFE, etc. A President can fuck up all those regulations.

    But what Trump is already running into is the fact that his power doesn’t extend to overturning items passed by the legislature. His birthright citizenship order didn’t last a day. A judge has already thrown out the freeze because Congress pases budgets, not the executive.

    He couldn’t overturn the ACA last time around because it was a law passed by the legislature. Even though he controls the ATF and can control some of their interpretations, he can’t declare machine guns and silencers legal because the NFA is a law passed by Congress.

    And even his power over the administrative state is in some danger because over the overturn of Chevron deference last year that allows judges to ignore the opinions of administrative agency holdings.