In a statement after Trump’s ceasefire message, Iranian foreign minister Seyed Aragchi said that Iran would halt its “defensive operations” and allow safe passage through the Hormuz “via coordination with Iran’s armed forces”. He added that the US had accepted the “general framework” of the Iranian 10-point plan.
That plan includes the US withdrawing its military forces from the region, lifting economic sanctions on Iran, paying compensation for war damages and allowing Iran to maintain control over Hormuz. It is hard to imagine Trump actually agreeing to any of those conditions – a sign that the next two weeks of negotiations could be treacherous.
For the moment, however, this is a partial political victory for Trump. He made a dramatic threat and achieved the desired result. But the ceasefire is a reprieve, not a permanent settlement.
It remains to be seen if Trump can keep a lid on his ego long enough for the whole thing to blow over and Iran to get the concessions they want. The markets are reacting strongly to the news, but I am not convinced that the two week ceasefire will amount to anything if the Trump admin can’t leave the issue well enough alone. We’ll just have to wait and see if the war is more profitable for Trump and his insider trading buddies than it is politically volatile for him.
He’s obviously going to try and spin this as a victory if he does manage to pull out successfully, but it’s important to ask the question - what were the US war goals and did they achieve them? He should not get credit for starting a war and then ending it swiftly, that is the expected outcome. Seems to me that they’ve accomplished nothing and are bragging about cleaning up the mess that they created. Hopefully people will still remember come midterms this year.
The cost mentioned in the article in points, each point is quoted directly from the article:
- US withdrawing its military forces from the region,
- lifting economic sanctions on Iran,
- paying compensation for war damages,
- allowing Iran to maintain control over Hormuz.
So Iran may come out of this war in way better shape that they’ve been for decades.
This is a humiliating strategic failure for the U.S. There is no way to spin this as even a partial victory. Pre-war the strait was open with Iran not in control. The U.S. has spent billions, is now facing concessions, and has cemented Iran’s control of a vital piece of critical infrastructure. How is this a victory?
Art of the deal. 🤣🤣🤣
But to be honest, I don’t think Trump will honor this deal either.
It like making a deal with Hitler, Trump will tear it up as soon as it is convenient to him.
Seems like Iran called Trump’s bluff. They Iranian didn’t give a shit, and just demanded everything.
WTF is this shit? He didn’t win anything, he caused the war and got it closed. He’s back where we were except billions poorer.
I think it’ll be worse.
I think his team will be desperate to end the stupid war he started, I think he’ll use his art of the deal to give Iran most of the ten point plan they want with no concessions to not seek out nuclear weapons, I think that might win on reparations but will lose the toll.
Either way I think Iran will extract money from the US taxpayer to restart their nuclear weapons program and this time they won’t stop because they’ve seen what America will do with Israel under Republicans and they don’t see Republican attacking North Korea even though they’re much the same except with nukes.
