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Joined 29 days ago
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Cake day: January 24th, 2025

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  • We couldn’t disagree more.:D

    I know people like to harp on the self-driving promises…

    “FSD” almost got me into a major accident. It had a tendency to ride in cars’ blind spots and when someone cut me off I didn’t only make an evasive maneuver but also fight “FSD” which locked the steering and did not brake.

    …the technology not fraud at all, except for the promises of how soon it will be self-driving.

    So the “idea of the technology” is not fraud, only the presentation, the selling, and the delivery of it. So like everything that is currently available:D

    Cameras are cheap sensors now

    You know what else are cheap sensors. Actual sensors. FFS they had a >$20K profit margin on each car but they saved $100 on sensors

    and humans do succeed in driving based only on sight.

    This is so disturbingly incorrect. We rely a LOT on our hearing, our vibration sense, our proprioception too. Have you tried driving with earplugs? It’s pretty dangerous

    Now it’s a software problem - will we be able to create an ai that can drive?

    It’s a safety issue. For any safety-critical system you apply redundancy.

    I don’t know, but I don’t see other approaches doing any better, and that’s with much more expensive and ugly hardware.

    Mercedes and GM have much better autonomous driving systems than Tesla, they just don’t market it as “”“FULL self-driving”“”. The fact that you’re unaware shows how incredibly effective tesla’s misleading marketing had been.

    we’re not all jumping into the same hole that may or may not succeed.

    It will succeed, but eliminating safety measures in half-baked technology will claim lives. And nowhere did I say self-driving can’t work, I’m saying that it won’t work within the product’s lifetime and eliminating redundant sensor data will make the process a lot more unsafe.

    Let them try something different, and we have a better chance of something working

    Again other companies are already ahead of tesla without the bullshitting involved.


  • Partly true. Demand will persist but had already changed drastically. EV/fast car enthusiast niche now has much more exciting alternatives, like used porsche macans or BMW i4s. The people who don’t care what they drive as long as its cheap is the future market of Tesla, and they’ll easily survive the drop in their profit margins. After all, the Model 3/Y were designed to be <$30K cars (AFAIR they cost like $23K to make?!).

    The first signs of Musk being a bit fraudulent is how he marketed “full self-driving” in the meantime, the transition to “vision-only” (i.e., removal of ultrasonic sensors) really sealed the fate of FSD but is also totally on brand for musk: the willingness to compromise safety further by removing sensor redundancy to maximize profits.






  • I also don’t think it’s hindsight.

    Many people said many many things, so by the rule of large numbers, someone’s prediction will pan out but it doesn’t necessarily mean they have a superior grasp of the underlying causes or that their next predictions will be correct again.

    And at this point I think a civil war is the only way to resolve things. Nation states will not survive the invention of the internet.

    I suspect you are correct about the eventuality of a civil war, but I do hope the revolution can be pulled off without bloodshed. Like through migration to decentralized networks.


  • the solution isn’t to frame it as rural vs urban, but left vs right.

    I’d say the distinction is justified by the very quantifiable and objective data to support it from many countries and elections. It’s also by design, as rural people’s emotions will be much better controlled by xenophobia in its most literal sense. Also rural people have much smaller networks and thus much more controllable information consumption. This is what right wing conservatives have been banking on.

    Republicans will never turn out to vote for a democrat no matter how bad their candidate is. Reaching out to them, wherever they live, is a waste of time.

    I entirely agree with this, but it’s also hindsight is 20/20. I don’t think it was an insane idea to run on the idea of cooperation and consistency vs. the chaos of trumpism to convince the “normal conservatives”. Harris’ campaign was highly risk-averse, but again the theme was consistent, vote for us and we won’t fuck shit up like trump would. What the past two general elections showed is that anger appears to be the primary winning force. GOP strategy pounding on grocery pricing was the perfect method, people pay for groceries multiple times a week, so you can remind them how angry they are every time even when Americans’ primary issue (relative to other western nations) are housing and healthcare and the lack of social safety net, whereas Americans have bad diets but don’t starve.

    That said if we keep anger to be the driver of elections, it’s only a matter of time to end up with a civil war.



  • My point is that considering how complicated the situation was where incumbent parties were massacred globally, Harris didn’t run a shitty campaign. She made some bold decisions that didn’t pan out. For example, she attempted to bridge the rural vs. urban divide by picking Walz, something that is quite ubiquitous to other modern authoritarian systems such as Türkiye or Hungary. What I would conclude is, rural votes are forever lost to the far right, and trying to appeal to rural voters will not be a viable future approach. Simply saying she did a shit job is not very constructive, and frankly quite unfair.