I’ll believe it when I see it. Indiana had their republican primaries yesterday, and Trump-backed candidates cleaned house. He’s still the king in the eyes of the GOP.

Sure, maybe there’s some “undecided” or “swing” voters out there, but frankly, I wouldn’t trust them even a little bit. Anybody “undecided” in the current political climate simply isn’t paying attention and can’t be relied on to vote based on actual issues. There’s more than enough time to manipulate them into supporting Trump and the GOP.

8. Eat more billionaires

Another “rift in the MAGA movement” headline? Really? Come up with something original.

Not at all surprising if you watch the billionaire provided media.

I really wish people would understand that billionaires don’t speak for “America” and that their interests are almost exactly opposed to the interests of regular people. This is the case regardless of where on the political spectrum your beliefs happen to lie.

Best of luck.

“I’m gonna tell my daddy on you. Then you’re in real trouble!”

When the No Kings protest happens every single day, things will change. Until then, it’s an inconvenience to be waited out, nothing more.

There’s a small group of committed people in my small town who protest every week, but we’re a long way from getting something of the scale of the No Kings protests.

There’s literally a movement within MAGA to repeal the right of women to vote. Yes, I absolutely believe that the misogyny is present in today’s GOP. Further, multiple polls and other research studies have found that a significant number of voters in the US does not support the idea of a woman for president. Here are a few references:

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1532673X251369844

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4782780-americansready-female-president-dipping-survey/

Anecdotally, Michelle Obama recently observed the same thing: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5607777-michelle-obama-us-not-ready-woman-president/

And if you combine her observation with the GOP views on women as president reflected in this pew research poll (notably “Republicans (86%) are twice as likely as Democrats (43%) to say it is not at all or not too important if they ever see a woman elected U.S. president”), I think there’s ample reason to believe that a Republican candidate for president would struggle to gain support from a statistically relevant group of voters.

And no, I do not think that Clinton And Harris lost only because they’re women. I did not say that at. Evidence suggests that misogyny was one of many factors, though.

I think enough of the MAGA base is incapable of voting for a woman that she starts in a pretty deep hole even within her party. I don’t see her getting the nomination, and if she does I see her struggling to inspire turnout in the general. Sexism impacted both Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris, and will be even harder for a GOP candidate to overcome.

People are saying we’re better off without him, but this is a very conservative district (voted for Trump 3 times) and analysts are suggesting that his withdrawal means the district is likely flipping GOP next year. It’s entirely possible that his withdrawal is what keeps the GOP in the house majority.

That’s my fear. The district Dems will decide that they want a more reliable Democrat in the primary, and their candidate will get crushed in the general election in this conservative district.

The only reason he’s in office right now is because he convinced Trump voters to also vote for him. To win in Maine’s 2nd, a candidate will need to do that. I’m incredibly skeptical that his primary challenger is going to have much success with that.

Committee control is the big reason. Even if he’s not the most reliable vote, the Dems get to control the House agenda if they have the majority. And it’s not like he’s 100% Republican with his voting record, either.

In fairness to Golden, he’s one of very few Dem reps to win in a Trump district, and Maine’s 2nd is very much a Trump district. He can only win by attracting some Trump voters. He does this by aligning with them on gun control (or lack thereof) and some social issues.

As to Golden being a DINO, he still counts toward a Dem majority in the House, and that’s super important.

If Golden loses the primary, the Dem candidate is going to have a very hard time winning the general. And then we’re looking at mini-Trump, former Maine governor and Florida resident Paul LePage, getting elected.

Yeah, people have been saying this kind of thing for almost 10 years now. It’s wishful thinking.

That’s kinda the point

They’re not morons. Trump, Musk, super PACs, and the GOP are spending collosal amounts of money to mislead them. It’s not their fault that it’s working.