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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 8th, 2023

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  • Unless this results in a Democrat landslide so substantial that they sweep every Senate seat up for grabs and win huge in the House, I cannot see this being the end of Trump. It would need to be a more substantial result than this year’s Hungary Parliament elections which awarded Magyar a two-thirds majority that could undo the damage Viktor Orban did upon the state.

    Donald has been impeached twice. Both impeachments failed because you need a two-thirds majority in the Senate to convict. A third impeachment will probably fail unless the scenario I outlined above does happen by some absolute fluke.

    If anything, Trump is far more likely to be removed via the 25th Amendment. He’s 80 years old, showing worsening signs of dementia, and I can definitely see the cabinet trying to convince him to stand down and let Vance salvage their chances for 2028. That is unless Trump chooses to challenge their attempts to invoke the 25th Amendment, in which case it goes to Congress. A two-thirds majority will then be needed in both houses to remove Trump.



  • Enough to both flip almost every Senate seat in contention at Midterms blue, and counteract all the Republican attempts at gerrymandering and electoral interference that will inevitably come.

    A gargantuan effort but not statistically impossible

    I think things will have to get truly bad by November for that to happen…

    Honestly, I think Trump is more likely to be replaced by the 25th Amendment than impeachment.


  • I’m not from the US so you can’t really say that I lost.

    I live in the UK where we are facing a similar predicament. A lot of people vote on class lines and for the same two parties based on the lesser-of-two-evils because they don’t want to waste their vote and give the worse party power.

    The difference is that our two main establishment parties (the Conservatives and Labour) have catastrophically fucked things up over the past fifteen years, and now a MAGA-like far-right party headed by Nigel Farage is being overwhelmingly pushed by the press. People here overwhelmingly disagree with things like zero-hours contracts and privatizing the NHS, yet haven’t read into any of Reform UK’s policies and will vote for Farage anyway because he seems a bit more charismatic and the media oligarchs are heavily pushing him.







  • This is one defeat that I think we can no longer blame on Russian interference.

    Kamala Harris was such a disliked candidate that she lost the popular vote to a convicted felon that previously tried to spark a right wing insurrection against Congress. A convicted felon whose previous tenure led to the Supreme Court bringing back state level abortion bans, and who was running on the manifesto of turning America into a right wing Christian theocracy staffed by Trump loyalists. Not even Hillary Clinton did this terribly.

    Biden should never have ran for a second term, given that he was already showing signs of forgetfulness four years ago, and when he was eventually pushed to resign, the Democrats should have held a snap primary instead of immediately backing Harris.