So a Cuban “victory” will come with sanctions lifted, the closure of Guantanamo Bay, and South Beach ceded.

  • YurkshireLad@lemmy.ca
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    5 hours ago

    If Trump invades or threatens to invade cuba, his skills from “the Art of the Deal” will probably result in Cuba owning Texas or Florida.

    • teyrnon@sh.itjust.works
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      2 hours ago

      Good god, a ground invasion of Cuba after sustained bombing, I can’t even imagine how that would work out, except obviously not well for anyone, not the least with these guys in charge.

  • Asafum@lemmy.world
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    6 hours ago

    So a Cuban “victory” will come with sanctions lifted, the closure of Guantanamo Bay, and South Beach ceded.

    I wish, but I don’t think Cuba has any kind of leverage that would cost the US anything. I’m pretty concerned that this will actually be an “easy win”. :/

    • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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      5 hours ago

      I don’t think Cuba has any kind of leverage that would cost the US anything.

      Cubans have their own military and mid-range weapons. They aren’t nearly as fortified as the Iranians, and they don’t have a straight line to Russia or China for support, but they can absolutely put missiles all along the Gulf Coast if push comes to shove. They’re - bare minimum - as dangerous as Yemen is to Saudi Arabia.

      It would be hell on earth for the island, though. Nobody actually wants a shooting war with the US. God only knows how many civilians would die as a result.

      And the real second-order consequence of a US invasion of Cuba would be the flood of refugees. People would flee the island in droves. Jamaica, the Yucatan, the Bahamas, Haiti, hell Florida - they’d be inundated with people fleeing the country. As bad as US relations are with the Caribbean states, this would make things so much worse. You’re talking about and island of 10M people. It would be chaos.

      • rbos@lemmy.ca
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        27 minutes ago

        Lotta oil refineries in range of Cuba.

        Naval drones in the Mississippi delta would be a problem.