So a Cuban “victory” will come with sanctions lifted, the closure of Guantanamo Bay, and South Beach ceded.
I wish, but I don’t think Cuba has any kind of leverage that would cost the US anything. I’m pretty concerned that this will actually be an “easy win”. :/
I don’t think Cuba has any kind of leverage that would cost the US anything.
Cubans have their own military and mid-range weapons. They aren’t nearly as fortified as the Iranians, and they don’t have a straight line to Russia or China for support, but they can absolutely put missiles all along the Gulf Coast if push comes to shove. They’re - bare minimum - as dangerous as Yemen is to Saudi Arabia.
It would be hell on earth for the island, though. Nobody actually wants a shooting war with the US. God only knows how many civilians would die as a result.
And the real second-order consequence of a US invasion of Cuba would be the flood of refugees. People would flee the island in droves. Jamaica, the Yucatan, the Bahamas, Haiti, hell Florida - they’d be inundated with people fleeing the country. As bad as US relations are with the Caribbean states, this would make things so much worse. You’re talking about and island of 10M people. It would be chaos.
Honestly that would be hilarious, on brand stupidity for Trump: Allows Russian “oil” to reach Cuba, along with the oil are parts for nuclear weapons, cuban missile crisis 2.0. lol
I wish, but I don’t think Cuba has any kind of leverage that would cost the US anything. I’m pretty concerned that this will actually be an “easy win”. :/
Cubans have their own military and mid-range weapons. They aren’t nearly as fortified as the Iranians, and they don’t have a straight line to Russia or China for support, but they can absolutely put missiles all along the Gulf Coast if push comes to shove. They’re - bare minimum - as dangerous as Yemen is to Saudi Arabia.
It would be hell on earth for the island, though. Nobody actually wants a shooting war with the US. God only knows how many civilians would die as a result.
And the real second-order consequence of a US invasion of Cuba would be the flood of refugees. People would flee the island in droves. Jamaica, the Yucatan, the Bahamas, Haiti, hell Florida - they’d be inundated with people fleeing the country. As bad as US relations are with the Caribbean states, this would make things so much worse. You’re talking about and island of 10M people. It would be chaos.
Lotta oil refineries in range of Cuba.
Naval drones in the Mississippi delta would be a problem.
Unless Russia sends them some missiles. 🤔
Honestly that would be hilarious, on brand stupidity for Trump: Allows Russian “oil” to reach Cuba, along with the oil are parts for nuclear weapons, cuban missile crisis 2.0. lol
Omfg Cuban missile crisis with that ding dong at the helm? The outcome would be nuclear Holocaust.
On the bright side…
He’s like a Cold War Bo Burnham, LOL