The gold standard for calling races is the AP. They don’t call any competitive race until someone is up by more votes than there are ballots remaining (they say they watch for trailing candidates not having a path to victory), unless polls make it clear that the race isn’t competitive. They’ve got a 100% accuracy rate since 2008, except when counties report incorrect totals.
I’ve seen rats leave a sinking ship all the time. I’ve even, bafflingly, seen rats get on a sinking ship. But this might be the first time I’ve ever seen a rat get on a ship that already fully sank.
The funny thing is, it was actually invented by a Democratic strategist for the Clinton campaign in 1992.
Best I can do is D+70 in the house and a Dem Soc mayor of DC.
Knowing who she turned out to be, that kinda sounds like a feather in El-Sayed’s cap.
She’s not coming completely out of left field, but it was much less “you’re not welcome here” and much more “if you’re only interested in relitigating the primary and sabotaging my campaign, I’d prefer that you didn’t.”
“And when everything’s America–” (evil laugh) “–nothing will be.”
“Warns” says the headline, but I think he means “Threatens.”
Look, anyone with half a shred of a conscience wouldn’t. This should be a no-brainer. But the most nonconfrontational politician in Washington isn’t hiding behind a simple “I haven’t heard about it” or “I’ll be washing my hair?” Or just straight-up lying?
That’s surprisingly encouraging, honestly. Any little crack in their lock-step is encouraging.
actualy just statistical error. MAGA Georg, who is part of MENSA but bought a red hat by mistake and has an IQ of 175, is an outlier adn should not have been counted.
This is honestly a nothingburger gotcha. He’s actively lying about the cost of living, and I’m glad that someone at Fox has the courage to call him out on it, but this is a confusing and easily-explained-away example; “he was just holding up the pack to demonstrate what he was talking about, obviously he meant a stick!” They should do the price of gas instead.
I mean, that’s why William Willett proposed DST in the first place, so it tracks.
Pay off a bunch of debt. Invest the rest.
It’s a boring answer, but it’s true. I’ve had a stable financial situation rug-pulled from under me three or four times already in my adult life. I’m sick of it.
I don’t even want to be financially stable for my own sake. I want to be able to tell my kids yes when they ask to eat at McDonald’s more than once a week. I want to be able to help everyone I know who needs it. I want to be able to pay for my wife to fly back home to her grandma’s funeral without worrying about if I need to sell a car to pay for it.
Re-watch it if you don’t believe me.
Why on earth would I not believe you? Nobody legitimately makes the distinction unless it’s ambiguous, and to Trump’s tapioca pudding brain, it’s far from ambiguous because the US dollar is the only dollar that exists.
This is a weird attempt at a gotcha, when the reality is that he has no intention of fulfilling this promise and no intention of justifying his failure to do so. If the GOP retains control of the legislative branch, the checks will never be mentioned again.
“So where are you going on vacation?”
“America.”
“Again?”
“Oh, no, not that America. I’m going to America.”
“Wait…the one next to America, or the one inside America?”
“The one just outside Super America.”
“Wow, nice. How are you getting there?”
“I have a flight out of America on Americaday and then I’m going through America by way of America to America, where I’m America-ing a rental America to America.”
“America America America America?”
“America America, America America. America America America America America America America America America America America America America America. America America America America America, America America…America America America America America America.”
“America. America America!”
“America!”
I’m a dad to an 11-year-old, a 9-year-old, a 6-year-old, and a 4-year-old. I wouldn’t call myself an expert, but I have felt all the ways you’re feeling now and so I do have some thoughts.
First of all, yes, it does get easier. You’re at or near the absolute hardest part of having a young child. For my kids, I won’t sugarcoat it, the hardest part was when they were three (we called it “threenagers”), so you may have another year or two yet to go (though if you look at our age span, you’ll see that we always had another baby right around that time, too, right up until the last one who was the easiest, so take that as you will). But after that phase, I will honestly say that my kids have become four of my best friends. It’s a weird friendship, but it is a very rewarding one.
Second, there are different kinds of hard. You mentioned the rut, the exhaustion, the amplification of existing depression and anxiety, and the feeling like you aren’t strong enough to do a good job; that’s a great summary of the four different ways it gets hard. Not all of them get easier all at once, but they do all get easier. Kids grow up. That’s both a blessing and a curse.
Third, part of the way it gets easier is that you just learn better ways to deal with the stuff that’s hard. I needed a routine so that my days didn’t become a rut, and I needed to journal (my form of journaling is heavy on photography right now) so that I could see all the ways I was actually doing a good job. It sounds like you’re already medicated and in therapy (it took me four times as long in parenting to get to that point, good on you). I will be honest, I still haven’t really found a good way to get enough sleep. But I have it on pretty good authority that teenagers sleep a lot, so I’m hopeful that it’ll sort itself out soon.
Overall…well, I’ll put it like this: Last year, my oldest beat me at chess, 100% legit, for the first time. My 9-year-old is maybe the most thoughtful and empathetic person I’ve ever known. My 6-year-old just learned how to read (a bit late), I think mostly so he can play Pokemon for the first time. My 4-year-old is just so excited about everything and anything. They’re making friends and having a life outside of me, they’re helping out around the house, and they’re coming together as siblings.
Being able to write a paragraph like that is what makes it worth it, and what really makes it easier in the long run. Sometimes the greatest accomplishment is just keeping them alive for twenty-four hours (and I don’t just mean right at the beginning), but eventually you get new and different problems and they start helping with the solutions.
At the end of the day, you obviously care a lot, and that’s the #1 clearest characteristic of a successful parent. So it sounds to me like you’re on the right track.
Oh, I remember this one. I kind of buy it.
Ok, so in the TV show Stargate SG-1, the Stargate program is an Air Force initiative to use an ancient alien device to send teams through a wormhole to planets in distant reaches of the galaxy where they interact with aliens and humans from other worlds.
One of those humans, having become a refugee on Earth after losing a war to aliens, creates a television show which essentially “files off the serial numbers” of the actual Stargate program.
When the Air Force learns about this, they allow the show to remain on the air, because that way if the story of the Stargate program ever leaks, anyone who hears it will dismiss it as the ravings of a fanboy who got too into the show, or of a conspiracy theory who can’t tell fiction from reality.
So the first part is, I think that the US Government could totally be using this to hide something really wild. Maybe there actually is an Upside Down (“oh really? Like in Stranger Things? Suuuure.”) or maybe aliens really do exist (“bro, you’ve been watching too much X-Files.”) and maybe not only do they exist but they’ve formed this whole secret subculture on Earth (“dude, that’s literally just the premise of Men In Black.”).
But see, now we run into a truly Heller-esque bit of circular logic, because with me even saying that, now the government can just say, “come on buddy, that’s just the plot of season 5 episode 12 of a TV show you’re on the record as a fan of.”
This also helps to explain why Trump and his cadre hasn’t blabbed about aliens in the past decade. They were told about the secret government program, but then they were also told exactly which TV shows and movies have been made to discredit the truth, and exactly how the conspiracy would make them look like laughable idiots if they revealed the truth.
tl;dr: superheroes are real, they’re way more like The Avengers than you’d think, they have an airtight plan to discredit anyone who leaks it, and “Wormhole X-treme!” is part of the conspiracy
He’s been here the whole time.
If he phrased this as “affordability is my priority, and I’m not ruling out that the way to assure that is to impeach the President and his cabinet,” he could have plausible deniability. But as it is, he’s clearly listening to the wrong political operatives.