• HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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      5 hours ago

      The US can flatten their infrastructure at will. They can only withstand so much of that before the calculus they’ve been working under changes.

      Iran was benefitting from the war for a large part of it. No longer.

        • HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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          3 hours ago

          Did I say Iran couldn’t do any damage?

          My whole point is the tit for tat can’t go any longer. And I’ve been vindicated (a bit) so far in that my 3rd scenario is starting to play out. Full mobilizing of the IRGC, scatter orders. US strikes are heavier and more frequent.

          The strait cannot be fully closed again/ much longer without serious physical shortages starting to appear. Therefore Iran either has to capitulate or go over the top and go for max pain.

            • HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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              2 hours ago

              So it was a “one of these things is bound to happen” list, not a “these are all going to happen” list.

              And #3 is absolutely panning out so far. We will see if it keeps up. But curious how you are so confident in your criticism when it’s literally happening…

              Or were you like most others thinking I was predicting all three things would happen, which is absolutely stupid because they can’t by definition all happen.

              • Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml
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                1 hour ago

                Number 3 isn’t a prediction if it’s already happening, I thought that that would be obvious. The other 2 points are nonsensical. And my original comment was making fun of your statement that the US can flatten Iran at will.